Spatial variability of long-term trends in significant wave height over the Gulf of Gdańsk using System Identification techniques

Jordan Badur, Witold Cieślikiewicz

7 czerwca 2018 Grzegorz Kozlowski Marine physics 0
NH cumulative change due to the linear trend over the simulation period expressed as a percentage of NH mean

Paper category: Original research paper
Corresponding author: Witold Cieślikiewicz (ciesl@ug.edu.pl)
DOI: 10.1515/ohs-2018-0018
Received: August 29, 2017
Accepted: November 21, 2017
Full text: here

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Abstract

The significant wave height field over the Gulf of Gdańsk in the Baltic Sea is simulated back to the late 19th century using selected data-driven System Identification techniques (Takagi-Sugeno-Kang neuro-fuzzy system and non-linear optimization methods) and the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD Reanalysis 2 wind fields. Spatial variability of trends in the simulated dataset is briefly presented to show a cumulative “storminess” increase in the open, eastern part of the Gulf of Gdańsk and a decrease in the sheltered, western part of the Gulf.

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